Off season comes with sales volume continuing to drop.

According to the statistics of China Construction Machinery Business Online, the paver sales volume of the 14 major paver manufacturers totals 1353 units from January to July 2012. In July, the paver sales volume is 177 units, reducing 15.71% compared with last month.

XCMG Science and Technology retains top position.

From January to July, in terms of accumulative sales volume, XCMG Science and Technology ranks the first by 353 units, a little higher than Sany Heavy Industry, with a market share of 26.09%. Sany Heavy Industry is on the 2nd place by 347 units, with a 25.65% market share. In terms of the sales volume in July, both XCMG and Sany sell 36 units.

The market share of 8-9.5m hydraulic crawler pavers shows a year-on-year decline.

From January to July 2012, the demand for the hydraulic crawler paver of 8-9.5m (including 9.5m) is still the highest, with the accumulative sales volume of 615 units and a market share of 45.45%; the next is the hydraulic paver of 9.5-12m (including 12m), with the accumulative sales volume of 323 units and a market share of 23.87%.

The hydraulic crawler paver of 8-9.5m (including 9.5m) retains a high market share this year, but its market share declines by nearly 14% compared with 2011; the demand for the hydraulic paver of 9.5-12m (including 12m) grows, with its market share growing by 12.63%.

Macroscopic interpretation

1. From January to July of 2012, China sees its GDP grow by 7.8%, which is the first time that the GDP growth dips under 8% for recent 3 years. The main reasons are mainly the slowdown of the export and investment growth. Affected by the weak global economy, China’s export is hard to recover in a short period.

2. Real estate: The growth of the commercial residential housing recently promotes the developers to increase the development strength in a certain extent, which, however, do not restrain the declining trend of the investment growth. In the future, on the premise that the regulation is not changed, it is predicted that the growth of the second half year will rebound slightly.

3. Railway and highway construction: The investment to the railway and highway has decreased a lot since the beginning of 2012, especially the railway, with the accumulative investment from January to July reducing 33.50% over the previous year. In the second half year, according to the investment planned at the beginning of the year and the recent financing frequency and amount of the Ministry of Railways, the investment to the railway will rises greatly. The investment to the highway also shrinks with the year-on-year reduction of 7.8%, which is the first reduction for 10 years. We do not place too much hope on the highway construction investment in the second half year due to two reasons: 1. the local income from the earth is insufficient; 2. there is no obvious improvement on the local financing platform and channels.

4. Mining industry: Seen from the investment to the mining industry from January to July, the mining industry still keeps rapid growth. However, the price the resources represented by coal and iron ore shows a downward trend, besides, against the background of the economy slowdown, the demand and price will decline further, which will restrain the investment to the mining industry. So in the second half year of 2012, the growth of the investment to the mining industry will fall compared with the 20.9% of the first half year.

5. Water conservancy and electric power construction: From the situation of the first half year, the two industries presents relatively stable performance. In the second half year, the two industries will maintain the level of the first half year, displaying good stability.

6. Export market: “Made in China” construction machinery products have been exported to many countries, mainly focusing on countries in Southeast Asia and Middle Africa. Due to the increased overseas expansion strength of Chinese equipment manufacturers and improved product quality, the export volume must show an upward trend. Besides, the high cost performance is the biggest advantage of China-made machinery for export.